Whose advantages and disadvantages in Russia-Ukraine war

In February this year, Russian forces invaded Ukraine. Initially, it appeared that Russia intended to seize the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, as soon as possible. But after unexpected resistance from Ukrainian forces, Russia turned its attention to the coastal city of Mariupol and a few other eastern cities.

Whose fault is it?
Obviously, the invading country cannot be acquitted in any way. But it is certain that the people of both the countries can be declared absolutely innocent and the real irreparable loss belongs to the same class. Russia alone is being blamed in the European and American media, and Russia’s repeated reservations over the years are rarely mentioned. Similarly, the Russian media is throwing all the rubble on Ukraine and its allies.
Moscow says genocide of the Russian-born population has been going on in Ukraine for the past two decades. Russia has compared the Ukrainian government’s atrocities in Donbass to the Nazi regime in particular. Kyiv and its European allies, on the other hand, have vehemently denied the allegations.

Moscow also says that Europe and the United States have been openly violating agreements reached during and after Gorbachev’s rule, and that in recent years NATO has expanded and dangerous weapons have been installed near Russian borders. There are major threats to Russia’s security and sustainable development.


Whose loss?
The greatest loss in war is always to the people. Thousands have died in Ukraine and nearly 10 million have been displaced at home or abroad. Their homes have been destroyed and they have lost a lifetime of savings. Clouds of fear are hovering over cities that have not yet become battlefields.

The Russian people have also been affected by the economic sanctions imposed by Ukraine’s allies, most of whom are not in favor of the war. On the other hand, several organizations have expelled Russian and Belarusian players from various international competitions. Belarus has been sentenced to life in prison for plotting to assassinate President George W. Bush. These same sports organizations take a stand on the atrocities of the United States and Israel that sports should be kept free from politics.

The world had not yet fully recovered from the effects of the Corona global epidemic, which has given rise to a new global wave of inflation.

Russia and Ukraine are the top wheat exporting countries. Since the beginning of the war, the share of these two warring nations in the trade of wheat and edible oil has been very small. Inflation, especially in Europe and Africa, has reached its highest level in decades. Russia is also one of the leading exporters of energy. Russia has begun to use these basic necessities to its advantage and wants to lift European and American sanctions in exchange for agricultural exports. Most European countries are reluctant to buy gas from Russia, which has resulted in rising product prices. When buyers of Russian and Ukrainian wheat and oil turned to alternative exporters, they changed commodity export rules to curb abnormal inflation in local markets. For example, India recently introduced new rules for wheat and Indonesia for palm oil.

If this war continues for a long time, it will affect the world more than the Corona epidemic.


Whose benefit?
In a war that leads to widespread destruction, the same game of fire and dynamite proves to be beneficial for a very small class. In fact, this is the class that is engaged in fanning the flames of war somewhere.

America’s role in this war is not hidden. He has been training Ukrainian forces in Germany for many years. Ukraine has carried out deadly attacks on senior Russian military officials and sank a large Russian warship, the Moscow, thanks to intelligence provided by US intelligence during the war. Obviously, this will make Russia even more angry and take revenge on Ukraine, and such factors will prolong the war. A protracted war would weaken Russia’s economy and make it the world’s second-largest arms seller. Buyers of Russian arms will turn to Europe and the United States.

After Russia and Ukraine, the European economy is suffering the most. In the near future, by assisting the European Union on various strategic fronts, the United States will be able to use the European Union more effectively against China. Russia, meanwhile, has begun charging Russian gas buyers in rubles. That is why the ruble has reached its highest level in many years. It remains to be seen how long this stability in Russia’s currency will last