Will NATO alliance clash with Russia over Ukraine

NATO alliance

According to global reports dated April 25, 2021, Russia has deployed about 100,000 troops on the Ukrainian border with modern and nuclear weapons, as well as its fleet and large naval warships in the Black Sea in March. The exercises began when Ukraine raised serious international concerns, and then, with the help of satellites and drones, the United States and Britain saw that Russia had unleashed heavy tank missiles and other heavy weapons and more. The troops were called back to Russia because the announced deadline for Russia’s military exercises had expired in early April, but then Ukraine shouted that Russian troops were present with their heavy and sophisticated weapons and that was indeed the case.

Russian President Vladimir Putin used the opportunity of British Prime Minister Churchill during World War II to denounce the artificial weapons “D-quids” made of plastic and filled with helium gas. Used for troop retreats, artificial weapons tanks, missile armor and heavy artillery sub-satellites and spy drones looked very real.

In response, Britain and the United States have announced plans to send a fleet of ships and large ships to the Black Sea to protect Ukraine’s independence and sovereignty. Turkey will face Russian forces in the Black Sea from the Bosphorus.
Earlier, I mentioned with reference to the Strait of Hormuz and the South China Sea that the fear of war in the waters of the world has increased again. The Sultanate of Oman, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia have been embroiled in a war, but no war has taken place. In the South China Sea, China has claimed Taiwan and its sea in terms of historical background and is demonstrating its strength.

China posed a challenge with heavy weapons by building its islands and some artificial islands near its coast. In comparison, the QUAD, the United States, Japan, Australia and India, is a four-power alliance competing with Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan and other countries in the region, but now global war experts say the South China Sea They are calling the Black Sea more dangerous than China, where Russia has already fought a war in 2014 and snatched Crimea from Ukraine. To assess the whole situation, it is necessary to examine the historical background of the region.

Along with Russia, Ukraine and Belarus also played a key role in the 1917 communist revolution, largely because they were more important European states than any other Tsarist state before the Soviet Union. The people of Ukraine, like Russia and Belarus in the recent past, have sacrificed millions of lives in World Wars I and II, in addition to the many wars of the Tsarist Russia. Ukraine became part of the Tsarist Empire of Russia from 1783, and it was decided that Ukraine would enjoy independence and sovereignty while living in Russia, but this never happened. Significant construction and development took place in which the eloquent evidence of this can be found even today in the majestic buildings of the lofty and great palaces of the Tsar kings.

Russia was involved in World War I from 1914 to the 1917 Revolution, which killed about 3.5 million people in Ukraine. From 1917 to 1923, there was a civil war in Russia between supporters and opponents of the revolution. According to conservative estimates, 1.5 million people were killed during the civil war in Ukraine. The severe famine also killed millions of people here.

NATO alliance 2021

At the outbreak of World War II, Stalin, along with Hitler, invaded Poland and divided Poland, but soon after, Germany invaded Russia and Russia joined the Western Alliance. On June 22, 1941, German troops invaded the Soviet Union, the capital of Ukraine. Kiev was the capital of that state. Kiev Kiev was the site of the Battle of Kiev. He was given the title of Hero City. Ukraine was devastated in World War II, with more than 700 cities and towns and 28,000 villages destroyed, followed by drought and famine in the immediate aftermath of the war. People died. On May 2, 1945, the victorious armies of the former Soviet Union entered Berlin.

Before and immediately after the end of World War II, the three leaders held three important meetings and conferences. The first conference was held at the Soviet Embassy in Tehran from November 28 to December 1, and the second at the former Soviet state of Crimea. It was held in Yalta from February 4 to February 11, 1945 in the various palaces of the Tsar kings.

Hosted by the Soviet Union, the conference was co-named Argonaut Argonaut, and was attended by Joseph Stalin of the Soviet Union, Winston Churchill of the United Kingdom, and Frank de Roosevelt of the United States. The conference began about two months and twenty-eight days before Germany’s surrender and lasted ten days, with several sessions.

After the war, peace and order in post-war Germany and Europe and the independence and sovereignty of European countries were also discussed at the conference. The third and final conference of the three greats was held at the Postadam Postedam in Germany a few days before the United States dropped the atomic bomb on Japan and formally declared the end of World War II, hence the name Postedam Conference. The conference was attended by US President Henry Truman, British Prime Minister Churchill and Clemens Italy and Stalin of the Soviet Union. The conference lasted from 17 July 1945 to 2 August 1945.

In addition to the meeting of the three leaders, the foreign ministers of the three countries also had a sideline discussion at the conference, which was attended by senior military officials who had commanded troops on various fronts. These three conferences took place between three forces with conflicting ideologies and systems. Britain was the world’s largest colonial power at the time, the United States was the world leader of the capitalist free economy and market, and the Soviet Union was the guardian of the communist ideology and system throughout the world.

During World War II, the world was becoming a triangle of these three contradictory angles, which was formed out of necessity in World War II. As far as Britain was concerned, the fact is that British society is the most realistic democracy in the world. There is a society of choice, and that is why the post-war economic colonial system was already in place in the United States and Britain, and the communist system of the Soviet Union was the antithesis of it.

Therefore, Britain and the United States became cousins ​​and were not directly confronted by the Soviet Union, but were avoided throughout the Cold War. During the Second World War, the Yalta Conference of 4 February to 11 February 1945 and the Postedam Conference of 17 July to 2 August 1945 also discussed the formation of the United Nations.

When the formation of the United Nations was finalized on October 24, 1945, the Soviet Socialist Union was granted permanent membership and veto power in the Security Council, along with the general membership of the United Nations, the General Assembly. The founding members of the United Nations, Belarus and the Social Republic of Ukraine, played a key role in securing UN membership in the 51 countries. At that time, the Soviet Union favored the process in such a way that the Soviet Union became a UN general. The Assembly will continue to have the support of two more votes, and this continued until 1990, when Ukraine’s independence and sovereignty were legally recognized, both internationally and nationally. In the Soviet Union’s constitution, every state in the Union had the right to secession and sovereignty.

As a member of the United Nations, Ukraine’s independence and sovereignty were recognized internationally, but it must have been since 1783 that Ukraine became a major country in Crimea and Belarus, first in Tsarist Russia and then in the Soviet Union. As a province or state, Ukraine was bordered by Russia, and the cultural, intercultural coexistence between Russia and Ukraine, the Russian, ethnic, linguistic, and national proportions in the population were slightly higher than in the rest of the Soviet Union. On December 8, 1991, the President of Ukraine, Leonid Kravchak, and the President of Russia, Boris Yeltsin, signed the Declaration of Independence of Ukraine and declared its independence.

At that time, the autonomous country of Ukraine covers an area of ​​602,628 square kilometers and had a population of 4,166,0982, of which 77.8% are Ukrainians, 17.3% Russians and 4.9% belong to other nationalities. Religiously, 87.3% of the population is Christian. It is bordered by Russia, Belarus to the north and northeast, the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Izua, and Crimea to the south, and Poland, Moldova, Romania, Hungary, and Slovakia to the south and southwest. Due to Crimea, Russia has maritime links with European countries, making Ukraine extraordinary. When Ukraine emerged as an independent state in 1991, it did not need UN membership.

Among the countries under its communist system, Poland first withdrew from the system in 1979-80, and by 1994, former Warsaw Pact member Hungary had joined NATO along with the Czech Republic. Bulgaria, Estonia, Lithuania, Romania and Slovakia joined NATO in 2004, and Albania joined NATO in 2009.

Many of these former communist countries also joined the European Union. In this changed situation, Russia’s foreign relations position is no longer the same as that of the former Soviet Union. Attempts were made to expand on the basis of historical, cultural, social, political and economic proximity, and in the early years Russia succeeded here and pro-Russian presidential candidates succeeded, but here in the political parties It should also completely free itself from Russian influence, join NATO and the European Union, strengthen relations with other countries with its own separate status and identity, and take advantage of its geo-strategic position. Russia and Ukraine have been very friendly for ten years after Ukraine’s independence.

In 2001, Ukraine, along with Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Moldova, formed the Organization for Democracy and Economic Development, and Russia considered it against the Russian Commonwealth of Independent Countries. In the run-up to Ukraine’s 2004 presidential election, Ukrainian politician Viktor Yushchenko won the election, while Putin backed Viktor Yanukovick Viktor Yanukovych. Yes, they lost the election.

Since then, Ukraine has become more cooperative with NATO, and in 2004 Ukraine sent troops as the third largest force in Iraq, then ISAF, which was operating in Afghanistan under NATO auspices, and also in Afghanistan and Kosovo. Send troops. By 2010, it looked as if Ukraine would join NATO, but in the 2010 presidential election, pro-Russian Viktor Yanukoich was elected president, but some of the other government officials were not convinced to give Russia too many concessions. Russia’s aspirations were not fully implemented in the renewal of the Russian naval base Sevatopol Sevatopol on the Black Sea. Refused to sign

This agreement was drafted after years of continuous efforts. Closer ties with Russia were preferred to closer ties with the European Union, prompting opposition protests against President Yanukovych, a pro-Russian veteran and active political leader in Ukrainian politics since May 1997. Are He has not been president of Ukraine since the 2014 revolution and then went into exile in Russia and is now living in exile here.

Looking at the map of Ukraine, it is clear that the coastal area of ​​Crimea and the Port Blake Sea and the Sea of ​​Izua are strategically important to Russia in terms of defense and foreign trade. Now is the time for Russia to take final action against Ukraine. Sergey Yurivich Glazyev Sergey Yurivich Glazyev, a world-renowned Russian politician and economist, is a special adviser to Soviet leader Putin and an important part of many Russian economic think tanks and Russian think tanks.

His advice has been crucial in Putin’s decisions on Ukraine since 2010. In 2013-14, Russians and pro-Russian people in Ukraine, especially in the Crimean peninsula and adjoining areas, began to protest and struggle in favor of Russia. The status of Crimea changed through a referendum on March 16, 2014, with the Legislative Assembly and the local government of Sevastopol Sevastopol Crimea deciding to join Russia.

 

This was Russia’s strategy. Since the Russian army was also present here and a large number of locals were pro-Russian, the riots and protests intensified in 2013 and on February 20, 2014 in Ukraine and Russia. There was also a war. The war took place in the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Azov on the Crimean peninsula, but is still called the ongoing war. The UN General Assembly has a majority in favor of Ukraine.

The war intensified in 2014, killing 4,431 Ukrainian and 5,600 Russian soldiers. Voting took place at the 68th session of the General Assembly on Ukraine’s sovereignty, in accordance with UN Resolution 68/262. 100 countries voted in favor of Ukraine, calling for respect for Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders. 11 votes went against the resolution.

Representatives from 58 countries were absent and representatives from 24 countries walked out of the House when voting began. But since Russia has a veto power in the UN Security Council, a majority in the General Assembly has become meaningless. The United States and the European Union have imposed global economic sanctions on Russia over its occupation of neighboring territories, prompting Russia to impose sanctions on those countries. Come on. NATO and the United States condemn the Russian occupation of Crimea and its environs, but the fact remains that Russia’s withdrawal from here is no longer possible, and the Ukraine-based United States, NATO and the European Union After the Ukraine-Russia War of 2014, Russia has largely overcome this problem on a strategic basis.

Since February 2014, pro-Russian and anti-Ukrainian groups have staged protests in eastern and southern Ukrainian cities. The Ukraine-Russia war led to the occupation of Crimea and the Donbass. In March 2014, Russian troops also occupied Ukraine’s Crimea, and when a referendum was held here on Crimea’s annexation by Russia, the turnout was 95.5% and 85% voted in favor of Crimea’s annexation from Russia.

According to Ukraine, the Russian-occupied parts of the formerly controlled Crimean peninsula of Ukraine are Donetsk and Lluhansk, which account for 7% of the total area of ​​Ukraine. The fact is that Russia has largely resolved the problems and concerns that Russia had with Ukraine, the United States, the European Union and NATO in 2014, and then in 1991, the situation in the former Soviet Union, including Russia. Everyone remembers Qi from the states as well as other communist countries in the Warsaw Pact.

Then Russia worked hard not only to increase the value of its currency but also to raise the standard of living of the people, including science and technology, by adding itself to the list of developed countries, and now the world With the balance of power before 1991, the end of the Cold War from World War II to 1990 was ten years after that, until 2000, when the United States was the only country in the world. The superpower was being recognized, then the powers given to the United States by the United Nations after the 9/11 incident or tragedy, but also by its Security Council, which included Russia and China. I got a license to operate against terrorism and terrorists, but also a killing license, and the United States and NATO used it extensively.

In the meantime, Russia has taken over, and 2014 is the turning point in which Russia has once again made it clear to the world that it is not only still ahead of the United States in the world in armaments and space technology, but also in the United States. It has also succeeded in proving a balanced superpower.

At the same time, China emerged as a third power. Although China still ranks third in science and technology after the United States and Russia, as far as economic, financial and industrial development is concerned, in the 31 years from 1990 to today, China has visited the European Union, Japan, Canada, Australia, Burma. Tanya and the United States are worried and now China is also in front of the four-power alliance QUAD in the South China Sea, so on April 10, 2021, the Chinese government officially started using the yen digital currency for the first time in the world.

It is being guaranteed by the Central Bank of China and there is a danger that in the short term China will use the digital currency Yen in international trade transactions to challenge the rule of the dollar in world markets. It was China that introduced paper currency, the bank currency notes, in the 7th century after the invention of paper in the world, and the great traveler Marco Polo told Europe about it in the 13th century, and then formally legalized Napoleon in 1804. Currency notes were issued in France immediately after Now, China has once again taken the lead at the official level in the world on the basis of digital yen currency.

The term vaccine diplomacy is also being used for China and Russia. China developed 250 million vaccines, of which tens of millions were given to developing countries, especially to developing countries. Russia has also given millions of vaccines to some countries, which has created sympathy for China and Russia in those countries and their peoples. Are Since 1984, however, global political thinkers have suggested that the United States, Russia, and China will now have three angles or lines of power in the world.

China was with the United States against Russian aggression in Afghanistan in the 1980s, now China is seen with Russia against the United States, and when China becomes a superpower, Russia and the United States may unite again against China in the future. Go.

Now global experts are also saying that apparently in the South China Sea, China is facing QUAD without Russia, and similarly in the Black Sea, compared to Ukraine, the United States and the United Kingdom in the Black Sea, China is not with Russia. But it seems that China and Russia have agreed on a strategy, the secrets of which are unknown to the United States, Britain and NATO.

To understand this, here is the true story of a hunter, who went hunting with his hunting dog in the forest, when suddenly a fox ran in front of the dog, and the dog ran after him. He made a long detour and then passed through a narrow hole in the hollow trunk of a fallen tree, came out from the other side and then ran away. Now he started to do so. The dog got tired due to running for half an hour. Then she slipped comfortably into the hollow trunk of a tree.

Surprised, the hunter collected hay and set fire to a hole in the trunk, then the two fled on the other side. In the United States, ever since Biden came to the White House as President on January 20, 2021, he has realized that Trump His policies have torn apart the diverse fabric of American society, for which he plans to invest بھی 1.3 trillion to create jobs for millions of people in the United States by 2030. Earlier, Adam Charles Rescue, Strategic Command in the United States, revealed that Russia has modernized 80% of its nuclear weapons and that the United States still stands at zero compared to that and urging the United States to equal Russia. But 2 1.2 trillion will have to be spent. Now the United States has to spend so much money and compete economically with China? ۔

Now back to Ukraine. The problem here is that since 2014, Ukraine has cut off the water of the Denier River to Crimea, and even when Crimea wanted to buy this water, it refused to give it. Similarly, in eastern Ukraine, Do Kins, Lohais and Donbass are Russian-majority areas where so-called separatists of Russian descent are engaged in armed struggle. Russia has deployed about 1.5 million troops on the border with modern weapons.

Russia is now conducting military exercises here and China is conducting military exercises in the South China Sea. The two have not yet signaled war, but Ukrainian President Volodymys Zelensky has told NATO and the European Union to Join the EU and NATO because the EU and NATO countries have an agreement that if one country is attacked, everyone will be considered an attack, but so far everyone, including the United States and the United Kingdom, is silent because they They know that Russia will also get water from Crimea, and that the eastern part of Ukraine, where the Russians live, also intends to take it from Ukraine, if Ukraine is to join NATO or the European Union at this time. Fear of war can be great.

Turkey is located near Ukraine and is a key member of NATO. Turkey has a long coastline on the Black Sea in the north, a long coastline on the Mediterranean Sea in the south, and the Black Sea and the Mediterranean Sea in the west. Turkey’s strategic position is very important here. US and British navies and ships will all pass through the Bosphorus Strait. On April 10, 2021, the ninth meeting of the Turkish High Level Strategic Cooperation Council was held in Istanbul. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan called on him.

The main point of the meeting was the Russia-Ukraine war. Although Turkey is currently a member of NATO and has agreements with Ukraine under some agreements, in the event of a full-scale war, it will first carefully watch the reaction of the United States, Britain and the rest of NATO. They have made it clear that Russia has drawn a red line, that is, set a limit, and if it is crossed, then there could be a dangerous war.

As soon as US President Joe Biden came to power, he ordered an investigation against Russia and then called President Putin a murderer based on this investigation and accused Russia of interfering in the US elections, the Taliban against the Americans in Afghanistan. And aided other armed groups, launched cyber attacks on the United States and attempted to poison and assassinate Russian opposition leader Elskiy Walmani, and now accuses him of inciting Russia’s actions against democracy, human rights and fundamental rights. Biden and his administration have now turned against China.

The Sino-Russian strategy and events show that the United States and its allies, while keeping China and Russia engaged on the economic front and on the defensive front on the one hand, and the social, social, With the escalation of political and economic crises, a new type of Cold War has begun. US-British think tanks are currently pushing Russia and China into a third-party battle to control the situation.

Ukraine and Turkey can be made scapegoats for Russia and India for China, but as far as Turkey is concerned, it will never fight against Russia without the rest of NATO members. Foolishness can be expected, for which the United States is trying to improve India-Pakistan relations first so that India can compete with China on one front at a time.